Friday, October 28, 2011

Breeders Crown Brings Upsets to Mind

The Breeders Crown is the most prestigious set of races since its inauguration, 1984. This will be the second year that all 12 races are presented on one night. With many of the top horses in the division either gone from injury or retirement, this will be a Breeders Crown in the record books. Listed below are my picks for the Breeders Crown and a reason.

Mare Trot
9 Autumn Escapade- Without a doubt, she is the one to beat in this field. She has improved since her failed attempt of victory in the Armbro Flight. She may be a short price, but her post will likely scare bettors.
1 Kandor Hanover- Runner up to Action-Broadway in the Armbro Flight at Mohawk. She had just lost by a neck and has an upper hand, class wise.
Back Up Horse:
11 Miss Dangles- Gets the benefit of the draw with the second tier. She was runner up to Autumn Escapade in the Miss Versatility final at Delaware, Ohio. She has raced over this track several times and will need to get a position to be in the top four.

Two-Year-Old Filly Trot
5 Win Missy B- Will be dueling for division honors with Check Me Out in this event. She may be better than any horse in this field.
7 Miss Paris- Her pedigree is top class. She sat mid-pack in the elimination, not doing much. She may be a monster in the final.
10 Aunt Mel- She raced fantastic from post nine in her elimination, finishing third. She will have to leave the gate fast and sit mid-pack for a perfect trip. Her post will heighten her odds.
Back Up Horse:
9 For A Dancer- Stayed in New York for most of her two-year-old campaign. She shocked in the elimination and may do so this week.

Two-Year-Old Filly Pace
2 Handsoffmycookie- She is very underrated coming into the Breeders Crown. She has only lost once and that was in the Sweetheart in August. With her speed, she can go faster than everyone else.
3 Pirouette Hanover- Was thought to be better than “Cookie” after “Pirouette’s” victory in the Sweetheart. She has raced in Canada many times and has had no luck post wise. She will be dangerous tonight.
Back Up Horses:
6 Shelliscape- Knows the Canadian oval very well. She has raced against the top many times and will most likely be in the exotics.
9 Podges Lady- Tries her hardest every start. Knowing the Seekmans, they want her to get a perfect trip. With her post, this feat may be possible.

Early Pick 4 Ticket
Race 4-7
$1 Ticket- 25/4810/13/35 = $24 ($4.80 for $.20)

Two-Year-Old Colt Pace
2 Bettors Edge- He was a shocker in the elimination, running up to A Rocknroll Dance at 39-1. He will likely be bet and will be in the top three.
Longshot Play:
5 Hurrikane Kingcole- Had a troubled trip in his elimination. He was interfered and closed hard up the pylons in the stretch. He will be a major speed factor and may steal the race.
Back Up Horses:
7 Sing For Me George- Dueled in his elimination, but ended up finishing second to Sweet Lou. He will be heavily bet.
8 Speed Again- He is a local favorite that does super well in every start. He was interfered in his elimination and drew post 8. His performance from here is unpredictable.

Two-Year-Old Colt Trot
4 Possess The Will- Won his elimination in fine style. He will need to show that talent again tonight.
8 Royal Shyster- Made a great recovery after breaking. He will be underrated from his elimination and may bomb.
Back Up Horses:
7 Presdigitator- This guy making the final is as strange as watching the Mummy Rockettes. He will most likely finish on the board.
10 Delano- He draws in after From Above scratched sick from his elimination. He has proven how good he is when he stays flat. Post 10 for him on the other hand will be the challenge of his career.

Mare Pace
1 Maureen Rocks- She was aggressive in the elimination, but did not have enough to catch Anndrovette. She has post 5 and “Maureen” drew the rail, which is hopefully an advantage.
3 Chancey Lady- Did not race as she usually does in the elimination. She normally leaves for the top, but she stalked. If she goes for the front, she will be hard to beat.
Back Up Horses:
6 On The Glass- Has done better in Tony O’Sullivan’s barn than she did in Ron Burke’s barn. She is blossoming into the tough horse she was last year. She will be in the exotics.
8 Rock N Soul- I have been backing this horse since her gigantic upset in the Misltoe Shalee final last year (I gave her out, she finished second at 82-1, paying more than $90 to place and $130 to show). If she races like herself, she will be tough to beat.

Open Trot
3 Commander Crowe- Let’s face it, this guy and Rapide Label are the ones to beat in here. They didn’t come over here just to be in it, they are obviously the best.
5 Rapide Label- Look at Commander Crowe’s case.
Back Up Horses:
2 San Pail- He will obviously be runner up to these two horses. Unless he goes off stride, he will be on the board.
7 Lucky Jim- He has had problems all year, until Tetrick got aboard him. His breaking problem stopped and he has performed better in general.

Three-Year-Old Filly Pace
3 Rocklamation- She raced phenomenal in her elimination. If she stays a bit closer to the pace, she can easily beat Drop The Ball (Who is the fastest in the race).   
Back Up Horses:
6 Monkey On My Wheel- She has done well in Canada throughout her career. She has finished won and placed several times and will be a bomb if she does so tonight.
7 Swinging Beauty- Seems like she didn’t race at her full potential in the elimination. If this is so, she may race fantastic in the final.

Late Pick 4 Ticket
Races 9-12
$1 Ticket- 35/710/28/711 = $16 ($3.20 for $.20)

Three-Year-Old Colt Trot
5 Manofmanymissions- He either wins or he breaks, simple as that.
8 Daylon Magician- He had a rough trip in his elimination. He was hung but was runner up to Chapter Seven. He may be a price from post 8.  
Back Up Horses:
3 Can Anyone Explain- He raced exceptionally in his elimination. He finished second in the International Sires Series at Lexington. He has a good post and will need to improve big to be in the top.
6 For You Almostfree- He barely made it to final as he broke at the start. If he gets a good trip, he will likely finish in the trifecta.

Three-Year-Old Filly Trot
7 Jezzy- She raced well in her elimination, but will have to do better in the final.
BOMBER OF THE NIGHT:
10 Pantholops- She made a gigantic recovery in her elimination to finish fifth. If she’s close enough to the pace, she will be the 2011 Southwind Serena.
Back Up Horses:
1 Lady Andover- She raced better than expected in her elimination. She gets an advantage with post 1 tonight.
3 Eagle Canada- The broken equipment she had at the finish may have affected her performance. If it didn’t, then I don’t know what to tell you.

Three-Year-Old Colt Pace
2 Westwardho Hanover- He won his elimination by a narrow margin. He gets better every week and will be tough to beat in here.  
Longshot:
8 Fashion Delight- He could of done better in the elimination if he did not get interfered. If he gets a comfterable spot, he will blow out the pick four.
Back Up Horses:
10 Mystician- He will have to race from mid-pack as he will leave from post 10. If he gets cover, he will be dangerous.

Open Pace
7 Dial Or Nodial- Has been improving with every start. He will need a trip to finish on the board.
11 Aracache Hanover- Has the speed to blow away this field. If he gets the top, its game over.
Back Up Horses:
2 Foiled Again- Won the Open at Woodbine last week, beating other horses in the Breeders Crown. He has been a tough competitor all year and is sure to be one in the “Crown.”
5 Bettor Sweet- Starting to get his career back on track. He has been doing better than he has earlier this year. He is likely to finish in the exotics.

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