Saturday, March 2, 2013

TRI’s Picks March 2 Meadowlands


Meadowlands Racetrack Pick 4, Race 7-10, Saturday, March 2, 2013

Last night, we went 2-of-4 in the Pick 4, with Mugshot Jess ($9) and Upfront Billy ($5.20) coming in as winners. Sadly, they weren’t overlays, so there were no win-bet winners last night. Tonight’s ticket looks much better than last night’s. Good luck!

$1 Play: 7,8/1,2,4/6,7/8 = $12

Analysis:

Race 7-
(7) Dial Or Nodial is one of the obvious choices in this field. He is a fast pacer that has had bad luck with first over trips against the likes of Golden Receiver. He should do a little better tonight, since he goes against a weaker field, but may go for the top early on. (8) Abelard Hanover is finding his stride at age five. He is excused for his last start, since he was closing on Golden Receiver and the track was sloppy. He should launch off the gate for the lead and can kick home in a sub-:27 final quarter easily, which he would do if he takes command.

Race 8-
(1) Freddy Day Hanover did well in his first start dropping in class. He showed he was competitive, pacing a :26 and change half mile to take the lead and quit. Since he draws the rail, he should go for the lead or protect the cones and can save his energy for the stretch drive instead of using it up early. (2) Friskies Cheapsuit gets post relief after a tough first over mile last week. He was parked every step on the slop and when trying to take the lead, was denied clearance. He ended up quitting. He drops into the company he’s won in before and has a good kick in the stretch. He’ll likely be placed near the lead and will slingshot into the stretch. (4) Bettor Win is stepping up off an impressive parked mile last week. From post 7, he came from last riding cover and flew by them all in the stretch to win. He’ll be more forwardly placed tonight and he can kick for home easier closer to the top.

Race 9-
(6) Alex Bullville is improving in this company. In his last start, he came from mid-pack and rode cover, flying in to the stretch and taking the lead until Mega Lightning came from nowhere and nipped him at the line. He’ll likely try to pull the same move today, but should have better success off a week’s rest. (7) Andy Baran is coming off a near victory in this class from post 9, getting away fourth and second over, storming down the stretch to lose by a neck. He’ll likely leave to get away near the top and will either ride the cones or pick up cover and close into the stretch.

Race 10- (8) Wall E is making his first start off a long layoff from August. In his last two starts, he made bad breaks. He qualified right after that and he broke again. The layoff looked to be just making some fine-tuning and adjustments. He qualified in the slop flat in 1:58 and on a fast track in 1:56.3. He should improve very well in his first start back and will likely try and go for a spot near the top, getting the coveted pocket trip needed to win this event. 

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