TRI's Picks July 13 Mohawk

By Nicholas "Ace" Barnsdale

Nicholas "Ace" Barnsdale, known as Shadow The Ace on Facebook, is the son of broadcast handicapper and writer Garnet Barnsdale. He too is a young racing aficionado that will be a regular writer on The Racing Inquirer. The Ontario native will have a focus on the WEG circuit, as well as writing previews for big events, columns and race reviews. He is welcomed as a new member to The Racing Inquirer. The thoughts of Nicholas Barnsdale are not that of The Racing Inquirer's. 

Mohawk Racetrack Early $75,000 guaranteed Pick 4 races 4-7, Saturday July 13th.

Off of our first ticket, the result was a three-of-four finish. Based on the $2 ticket, which is how we will account for our profits and deficits this year, we are down $22 for the year, since Zoe Blue Chip, Creampuff Macdaddy and Oceanview Bindi all went off above the 4-1 plateau. With that said, a $22 deficit is easy to recover from and tonight’s ticket should prove that. Good luck!

$2 Play: 3,6/4,9/5,10/5,6,7 = $48 ($24 for $1; $4.80 for $.20)

Analysis:

Race 4: (3) R GAUWITZ HANOVER has been showing some strong finishes at this level lately but the post draws have not been kind to him. Since he gets an improved post tonight he’ll definitely be a factor. The two horses that beat him in his most recent third place finish will not compete with him this week, so expect good things tonight. (6) CAMS TUX won in this class two races back in 1:49.3, topping my other pick R GAUWITZ HANOVER’s best time in the past three starts. Though, CAMS TUX was defeated by R GAUWITZ HANOVER in his last start. These two will be a great exactor box to bet, since their main rivals who triumphed over them will not go against them again this week.

Race 5- Canadian Breeders Championships Elim: (4) MACH IT SO won an Ontario Sire Stakes (OSS) Gold division last time out and has taken a two-week layoff before getting back on the track tonight. Based on his last start, he will possibly be the only huge factor. (9) WINDSONG JACK might also be a factor in this race. He won an Ontario Sire Stakes Gold Final, but in a significantly slower time than MACH IT SO won his OSS division. However, he finished third by a nose in the Super Final, making him a factor with MACH IT SO. This horse usually paces slower than MACH IT SO and will be at a disadvantage with post 9.

Race 6- Canadian Breeders Championships Elim: (5) MACHAROUNDTHECLOCK finished second last time by a slim margin. She has been showing performances that make her a big threat. We are expecting a good performance from her this week and this horse should beat her rival BEST IMPRESSIONS for the victory.(10) JETTIN JAMIE is the other contender in this field next to MACHAROUNDTHECLOCK. She won her last outing in an Ontario Sire Stakes Gold division, but this horse does have the disadvantage from post 10, making her the second choice of the two.

Race 7: (5) ALSACE HANOVER hasn’t raced since last year, but when he did he finished sixth by a slim 3 lengths in the $787,000 final of the Canadian Pacing Derby, closing from ninth. He also was third in his elimination. Before his Pacing Derby appearance, he raced in a $50,000 open and cruised home from the three-quarter pole. Off of a layoff, this horse can regain his groove quickly enough to win this race. (6) MICHAELS POWER has been showing poor efforts recently and might face some difficulty in this race. His last win came in the Ontario Sire Stakes Super Final three starts back in November of last year. We can probably expect some improvement tonight, but he might have some trouble due to the fact of the fast miles put in by a majority of this field. However, he is a good horse and can get to the wire first under the right circumstances. (7) THINKING OUT LOUD didn’t do so well in his last start, but he didn’t get the best of drives. We can look forward to some improvement from him tonight, as two races back he finished second by a neck to Heston Blue Chip in the Matron Stakes.