TRI's Picks July 12 Mohawk

By Nicholas "Ace" Barnsdale 

Nicholas “Ace” Barnsdale, known as Shadow The Ace on Facebook is the son of broadcast handicapper and writer Garnet Barnsdale. He too is a young racing aficionado that will be a regular writer on The Racing Inquirer. The Ontario native will have a focus on the WEG circuit, as well as writing previews for big events, columns and race reviews. He is welcomed as a new member to The Racing Inquirer. The thoughts of Nicholas Barnsdale are not that of The Racing Inquirer’s.

Mohawk Racetrack Early Pick 4, Races 4-7,  Friday, July 12, 2013

Presented is the first written piece and Pick 4 of Nicholas Barnsdale’s career at TRI. All rules with when Ray Cotolo did his Pick 4s will apply with Nick’s. If a horse is over 4-1 approaching post time, he will be value to win. Good luck to all!

$2 Play: 3/5,6/1,5/4,7 = $16 ($8 for $1; $1.60 for $.20)

Analysis:

Race 4- (3) Foolish Mind- He has experience against this group and is coming off a romp in an Ontario Sires Stakes event at Clinton. He appears to be the strongest contender in this field, as he has been showing sharpness and should be a big factor in the race. He may not be the value we are looking for, but I would strongly encourage wagering on him if he goes off in the 4-1 plateau.

Race 5- (5) Take That Hanover- Paced the fastest qualifier versus rivals in this field. Few horses will be in contention in this race, but in the event that the Well Said filly can’t hold the lead, then (6) Zoe Blue Chip will be another factor. I watched her win her first qualifier on June 22 in 1:58. She cleared the front with ease and cruised the rest of the way. She might be able to get a nice spot early and catch the leader in the stretch. Out our two contenders, this one will be better in the value market.

Race 6- (1) Murmur Hanover- He outclasses the field, looking back to last year when he finished third to Wheeling N Dealin in the Breeders Crown. As a matter of fact, he defeated Wheeling N Dealin last week, since the two-year-old champion finished fourth in his first outing. He is likely to show improvement starting from the pylons, a luxury he hasn’t had since the Ontario Sires Stakes Super Finals last year. (5) Creampuff MacDaddy- Won the Ontario Sires Stakes Super Final, but he trotted the mile in a soft 1:56; he won through disqualification. Murmur Hanover will be his main rival due the speed he showed last week. Creampuff MacDaddy may have to go through a heated battle with Murmur Hanover heading to the wire to claim victory.

Race 7- (4) Oceanview Bindi- She raced well two starts back against the same class, finishing second in a closing effort. We will exempt her last start, as she broke and was quickly eliminated. Based on her start before that, she can recover quickly and perhaps get a win. She is showing improvement and will continue to show improvement. (7) Ferrari Sena- She been racing against lower-classed fields in in the Maritimes region lately, but three starts back, she made a hike in class and rose to the challenge, finishing third by only a length from off the pace. She steps up slightly this week and might have an easy time with this group.