Win Report – 10/12/19 Pocono Downs
First Picks:
R2: 3 Coffeecake Hanover ($23.00)
R5: 1 Lucan Hanover ($7.80)
R8: 1 Luck Be Withyou ($6.80)
R10: 4 Captaintreacherous ($2.60)
Exotics:
R5: 1 Lucan Hanover over 2 Sunshine Beach (Cold - $14.60)
R6: 6 All Laid Out over 5 Smilin Eli over 4 Deadliest Catch
(Boxed - $48.40)
R11: 3 Bee A Magician over 4 Ma Chere Hall (Boxed - $5.40)
Race 1 – Invitational 3yo Pace PA Sired Preferred
Purse: $75,000
Picks: 4-3-1-2
(4) Ultimate Beachboy – He was victorious in his last stakes
outing at the Pocono oval, coming in the second consolation for the Battle of
Brandywine, a 1:48.3 world-record score. Since then, he has been competing
among second-string stakes company and in overnight events. His most recent
start at The Meadows appears to be a 1:51.3 stroll against non-winners of
$13,500. He has shown a love to the Pocono oval and will be overlooked in this
bunch.
(3) Duc Dorleans – Comes off an unappealing effort at
Yonkers, finishing eighth from post 7 in an Open last Saturday. Before that, he
sat a pocket trip (so we think) in the foggy Ontario Sires Stakes Super Final,
winning there in 1:49.2. That circuit gives more evidence to how he’ll do
against this group and that evidence shows mostly positive signs.
(1) Twincreeks Jesse – Steps up from his overnight
competition, doing well against the group. Four starts back, he finished third
to Beach Memories and Twilight Bonfire in the Pennsylvania Sires Stakes final
in a 1:51 mile. His preferred racing position is in the middle of the pack and
from the rail, he should get that spot with ease.
(2) Lonewolf Currier – He has shown to be an extremely
bipolar horse, racing either very well or very poorly. In Delaware, he set up
preposterous fractions in the Little Brown Jug, doing the same in the Battle of
Brandywine. If he chooses to try and bottom out the field again, he would not
prove successful.
Race 2 – Invitational 3yo Trot PA Sired Preferred
Purse: $75,000
Picks: 5-1-4-7
(5) Bambino Glide – This colt has been on an incredible
trail of improvement in recent weeks. He was victorious in a previous
Invitational held at Pocono on Super Stakes Saturday, trotting that mile in
1:54.2. Since then, he gradually improved against overnight company and most
recently, winning against second-string stakes horses in the Keystone Classic.
He got a short break after that win and should be fresh coming in here.
(1) High Bridge – He is the class of the race. He has
tussled with the top glamour boys in the trotting division, from the Kentucky
Futurity to the Hambletonian. He is going to be a part of some sort of speed
scenario setting up. He doesn’t have sustainable speed to win on the lead, but
will likely complete an exotic.
(4) Major Athens – He too is a part of the speed scenario in
this race. He is making his third start off of a layoff, with his second start
being an easy gate-to-wire 1:53.3 win. He has improved since August, but would
need to step up to pull off a victory.
(7) Picture This – Coming off of a win in a late closer at
Lexington, sitting a perfect trip to win in 1:52.4. He has speed to be put into
contention early in the mile, but would need perfect circumstances to win.
Race 3 – D-Breeders Crown Final – 2yo Colt & Gelding Trot
Purse: $500,000
Picks: 2-8-3
(2) Father Patrick – The reasoning behind him should be
obvious. He trotted a spectacular mile in his elimination, winning in a world
record 1:52.1. He is currently on a whole other level against these freshmen
and is yet to disprove that.
(8) Nuncio – The obvious second choice. He trotted a great
mile in his first start off of a layoff, trotting fast fractions and digging in
against Father Patrick to lose by 1 length at the wire. He is the main
contender to beat Father Patrick, but will likely fall short of that feat.
(3) Credit Fashion – Raced well in his last matchup with
Father Patrick, which came in the William Wellwood final. He was
uncharacteristically far off of the lead and finished third by 9 lengths in a
1:53.4 mile. He is the best of the second-tier of talent in this field and may
bring a slight price into the trifecta.
Race 4 – D-Breeders Crown Final – 2yo Filly Pace
Purse: $500,000
Picks: 3-8-5-1
(3) Uffizi Hanover – She is the buzz horse heading into the
final, finishing a game fourth in her elimination. She gained 5 lengths to be
second to Precocious Beauty at three-quarters, which she paced to in :27.2. She
faded into the stretch and came back to finish fourth by a length-and-a-quarter
in a world record mile. She draws better to be put into a stalking position and
will likely race the effort of her season tonight.
(8) Precocious Beauty – Raced very well in her elimination,
brushing to the lead at the half and fighting to hold command for the rest of
the mile. She will likely be put into a spot where she has to make a first over
move to the lead. This division has had tremendous speed over the last few
months and it might prove to be devastating for her.
(5) Southwind Silence – Got a perfect trip in her
elimination and flew up the passing lane to finish second by a head to Gallie
Bythe Beach in a world record (before Allstar Rating’s victory in 1:50.1) mile.
She will be forwardly placed and has the potential to pick up the pieces late.
(1) Act Now – Got a good spot against Precocious Beauty last
week, got shuffled and came back to finish third in 1:50.2. With the rail, she
should get away well again and repeat last week’s performance to hit the board.
Race 5 – D-Breeders Crown Final – 2yo Filly Trot
Purse: $500,000
Picks: 5-3-2-8
(5) Lifetime Pursuit – She is our best bet of the night.
Raced very well in her elimination. She was asked only slightly in the stretch
to finish second to Shake It Cerry. Looking two starts back, she dazzled
Kentuckians in the International Stallion Stake, winning with ease in 1:52.3.
Now with the big money on the line and a conditioning mile under her belt,
she’s ready to crush this group.
(3) Shake It Cerry – The national consensus against Cooler
Schooner in this event. She sat a pocket trip to Lifetime Pursuit to get the
better end of her stable mate, winning her elimination in 1:54.1. The race was
very soft fraction-wise and will not be a stroll for her tonight.
(2) Cooler Schooner – You can bet she’ll launch for the lead
from this spot. She takes an incredible liking to the clay surface both here
and at Lexington. Racing on her own in her 1:52.2 elimination win, she now has
some competition to face and won’t be given an open length advantage with ease.
(8) Goddess – She was the lone challenger to Lifetime
Pursuit, making a first over bid to try and take command. She ended up giving
chase and finishing third. She has been improving with each outing and will
likely be in the mix at some point in the mile.
Race 6 – D-Breeders Crown Final – Open Trot
Purse: $600,000
Picks: 1-8-7-5
(1) Market Share – Has not been at his top form over recent
months and was put through some tough trips against these trotters. His most
recent outing comes at Lexington, where he parked the mile and finished third
in a 1:51.3 mile. He draws perfectly to be put into a relaxing position for
most of the mile and come up the passing lane to claim redemption against
Intimidate.
(8) Uncle Peter – Currently at his top form coming into the
final. He got a workout mile at Lexington, trotting 1:52.2 in a qualifier two
weeks back. He finally got the better of these trotters in the Centaur Trotting
Classic, sitting a perfect trip to win by a head in 1:52.3. He has the
potential to get another perfect trip, but will likely be only within the late
mix.
(7) Arch Madness – The clay benefits the old hooves of this
veteran. He woke up at Lexington, sweeping the Allerage Trot elimination and
final. He would need to be put close to the pace, which may pose a challenge
from post 7. He’ll likely be on the board in the end.
(5) Intimidate – He loves to close. Now, there is history where he doesn’t have to win by closing, but that’s his forte; that’s how he won the Credit Winner in what can be deemed a miracle mile. He is not one to throw out, but is up against some tough company tonight.
Race 7 – D-Breeders Crown Final – 3yo Filly Pace
Purse: $500,000
Picks: 7-4-3-5
(7) I Luv The Nitelife – What is there to say, she has
crushed this field from day one. Winning the Jugette, the Simcoe, the Valley
Forge, the James Lynch, the Mistletoe Shalee and the Miss New Jersey among
resume-topping performances. She will be a tough one to beat.
(4) Authorize – Really rounded into form at Lexington,
winning an Open, then taking two third-place efforts in Grand Circuit
competition. She has speed and can be put either on the lead or in a stalking
position. Either or, she’ll be near the front for most of the mile and will
likely give us a price in the exotics.
(3) Carols Desire – She is dependent on a trip. Her major
victory in the International Stallion Stake came off of a pocket trip. She’ll
likely be put into a comfortable spot in the early goings and save enough to hit
the board in the stretch.
(5) Shebestingin – The one thought flowing through my mind
is, “how much did that world record mile take out of her?” She loves to be on
the lead and will do anything she can to get the lead. This attribute may prove
to be her Achilles Heel in the final.
Race 8 – D-Breeders Crown Final – 2yo Colt & Gelding Pace
Purse: $500,000
Picks: 9-4-8-3
(9) Sometimes Said – Our best longshot of the night. He sat
a perfect trip to Somestarsomewhere in the eliminations, challenging him into
the stretch and soon dropping back. This race has huge potential to be a speedy
one on the lead, which would set up for this colt to close. He has shown he can
close, doing so in the Bluegrass against Smack Talk. From post 9, he should get
into a perfect spot to pull off such a move.
(4) So Surreal – The buzz horse in this division. He closed
quickly in his elimination, gaining 3 lengths in a matter of strides. He will
try to get a similar trip tonight, but most of these colts will be at the top
of their game and will put him to a test.
(8) Three Of Clubs – He looked barely used in his
elimination, being under minor encouragement while Luck Be Withyou paced away
with his elimination. From post 8, he has the speed to be put into a good spot
and blow up this already pricey trifecta.
(3) Ari Allstar – Closed very well with the fast fractions
in his elimination. Expect him to be put in the middle of the pack and pick up
some pieces late.
Race 9 – D-Breeders Crown Final – Open Mare Trot
Purse: $250,000
Picks: 1-5-3-2
(1) Maven – She has returned to her form that defines her
name in recent weeks. She loves to take down her rivals with a first over move
and will have an easy time doing exactly that from the rail.
(5) D’orsay – Appeared to use last week’s elimination as a
conditioning mile, yet still fighting to hold command at the wire. She has been
just a level below Maven in the final parts of this race season and could
perhaps give us a somewhat priced exacta.
(3) Bax Of Life – Was impressive in her first over triumph
in the elimination last week. She will have to step up drastically to have any
shot to win.
(2) Check Me Out – Wasn’t thrilled with her elimination,
despite her quick bid in the final strides of the mile. She has been improving
with every start, but will be up to a task tonight.
Race 10 – D-Breeders Crown Final – Open Mare Pace
Purse: $300,000
Picks: 5-1-2-3
(5) Monkey On My Wheel – Raced strongly in the elimination,
setting fast fractions on the lead and digging in to finish second by a head to
Anndrovette. Expect her to be placed near the front, but likely to sit a pocket
trip to Anndrovette and fly late.
(1) Rocklamation – Has began to get away closer to the lead
in an attempt to close better. She closed very well last week, sitting second
over and flying home in :27. From the rail, she should be able to repeat that
trip.
(2) Anndrovette – Was the victor in the elimination last
week, sitting a perfect trip in a 1:49.1 score. She will likely become a victim
of the pace tonight, but will have enough to protect her spot on the board.
(3) Economy Terror – Had no room to pace last week and was
seeking to qualify for the final in the stretch. She should be more aggressive
tonight and blow up the exotics.
Race 11 – D-Breeders Crown Final – 3yo Filly Trot
Purse: $500,000
Picks: 4-1-2
(4) Bee A Magician – She puts the Abra in Kadabra. His
offspring is yet to lose a race in 14 outings this season. She’s so good, if
she was sawed in half, she’d be the exacta.
(1) Coffeecake Hanover – Won only because of the trip last
week. She will likely get a similar trip this week and have enough to hit the
board.
(2) Ma Chere Hall – Was the only one to challenge Bee A
Magician in her elimination and soon disappeared from all chances of winning.
She’s at the top of her form, but would need to step up drastically tonight.
Race 12 – D-Breeders Crown Final – 3yo Colt & Gelding Pace
Purse: $500,000
Picks: 1-2-6-3
(1) Captaintreacherous – Duh.
(2) Beach Memories – Closed well to finish third against
Captaintreacherous in a 1:49.2 mile. He draws post 2 and will likely sit a
comfortable trip to complete the exotic.
(6) Captive Audience – Closed well in Lucan Hanover’s 1:48
triumph last week to finish third. He has been improving week to week and may
be peaking heading into tonight.
(3) Lucan Hanover – Sat a perfect trip and took down
Sunshine Beach to win his elimination last week. The confidence built off of
that mile may put this gelding in a bad spot at some point in the mile and
throw him out of winning contention.
Race 13 – D-Breeders Crown Final – 3yo Colt & Gelding Trot
Purse: $500,000
Picks: 3-4-5-7
(3) E L Rocket – Caught our eye in his elimination last
week, flying up the passing lane to be rejected the victory by Spider Blue Chip
in 1:52.4. There is a ton of speed setting up a battle in this race and with
the scratch of Royalty For Life, E L Rocket should get a pocket ride and blow
by them all at an upset.
(4) Deadliest Catch – Provoked Smilin Eli to pick up the
trot at three-quarters, going in :27.3 (he trotted there in :27.1). He soon
dropped back and finished third to All Laid Out in a 1:52.4 mile. He was live
last week and expect him to get a better trip this week.
(5) Spider Blue Chip – Was rated well in his gate-to-wire
effort last week. He will be used a little harder since the big money is on the
line this week. Expect him to be among a group of leavers in this final.
(7) Smilin Eli – He is not the same horse he was that raced
on the lead. He gives way much more easily, albeit his last start was his first
one in a month. He has some recovery to do and is not coming into this race
with all that many positive signs.
Race 14 – D-Breeders Crown Final – Open Pace
Purse: $500,000
Picks: 3-1-4-2
(3) Golden Receiver – Sat a pocket mile last week and came
up the passing lane to finish third in a 1:48.2 mile. With an inside post,
expect him to leave and contain himself to sit a pocket ride and explode into
the stretch.
(1) Clear Vision – Just missed to Golden Receiver in the
Allerage two weeks back. He draws perfectly to be put into contention and grind
his way up until the light of the wire.
(4) Modern Legend – The gelding has had so many perfect
trips over the season, but never got up to win. The same happened last week,
although Foiled Again had already sprinted clear of the field. He will likely
be put into the exact same scenario and complete our exotics at a price.
(2) Foiled Again – Sparkled in the eyes of spectators,
winning in 1:48.2. The goal of the field will be to not yield him command,
seeing the blowout he committed last week. That goal is more than possible and
this warhorse will have enough will to at least hit the board.